UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira – Betting Guide, Picks & Bets

Topuria vs. Oliveira headlines 2025 UFC International Fight Week. The two popular fighters battle for the title vacated by Islam Makhachev as the latter prepares for a welterweight title campaign. Here we dive into the UFC 317 betting guide and examine the best bets and picks for International Fight Week 2025.

Alexandre Pantoja looks to defend his Flyweight title against Kai Kara-France in the Co-Main event. Flyweight champion Alexandre Pantoja vs. Kai Kara-France is the co-main event for this year’s International Fight Week card. Others on the main card include Renato Moicano vs. Beneil Dariush.

UFC 317 Betting Guide

The UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira odds list Ilia Topuria as a massive favorite at -410 (bet $410 to win $100). Meanwhile, Charles Oliveira is the underdog at +320 (bet $100 to win $320). The implied probability is an 80.39% win likelihood for Topuria.

Main Event: Ilia Topuria -410 vs. Charles Oliveira +320

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Beneil Dariush vs. Renato Moicano

Renato Moicano opens as a slight -140 favorite against Beneil Dariush, +120.

Recently, UFC odds have been atrocious, and favorites are overpriced, making it challenging to get a good line. Now and then, Vegas drops the ball. Congratulations, ladies and gentlemen, they dropped the ball on Moicano vs Dariush.

Beneil Dariush is 36 years old and is coming back after suffering two brutal knockout losses. According to my sources, Arman Tsarukyan’s knockout messed up Dariush for a long time. From what I’ve been told, we are at the end of Dariush’s career. Anytime a fighter thinks the end is near, you should automatically hammer the opposition. If more people had and knew this information, Moicano would be sitting at -300.

Renato Moicano will be the hammer bet for UFC 317. We have a fantastic opportunity to cash a check here.

Bet: Renato Moicano

Brandon Royval vs. Joshua Van

Brandon Royval enters as a slight -125 favorite against Joshua Van, +105.

Joshua Van is taking a massive step up in competition as he fills in on short notice for Manel Kape. Van fought two weeks ago and dominated Bruno Silva. However, Royval is an entirely new beast.

JOSHUA VAN GETS IT DONE IN ROUND 3 😤 #UFC316 pic.twitter.com/peKBTlBR1E
— ESPN MMA (@espnmma) June 8, 2025

Royval is on a two-fight winning streak, most recently derailing the undefeated Tatsuro Taira hype train. There is an enormous skill and experience gap here. Van is only 23 and has not faced much adversity in his UFC career. Meanwhile, Royval has been scrapping against the best Flyweights at the top of the division for years. He fought against Alexandre Pantoja for the belt in 2023.

Royval seems like too much, too fast for Joshua Van. I’ll confidently bet on the UFC veteran all day.