UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac Betting Guide. Live from Accor Arena in Paris on September 2, 2023. Unfortunately, we seem to be losing fights left and right. The card has already dropped down to 11 bouts. We haven’t even had weigh-ins yet. Due to a few fights falling through, this Betting Guide only consists of two bets this week.
Ciryl Gane (-175) vs. Serghei Spivac (+150)
Ciryl Gane vs. Serghei Spivac is a classic striker vs. grappler match-up. After Jon Jones steamrolled Gane, It’s hard to stand here and back him from a betting perspective. Gane’s wrestling and jujitsu are nonexistent. Not to mention, Spivac averages around five takedowns in 15 minutes. So this fight is going to hit the canvas.
Unlike most heavyweights, Spivac has a high fight IQ. He won’t get drawn into a firefight, which is exactly what Gane wants. My only concern is Gane does have a decent reach advantage. He might be able to use that to keep his distance and pick Spivac apart. Also, Spivac struggles with faster opponents.
With all this said, the value of Spivac and the grappling incompetence of Gane is too blatant to ignore. The takedown statistic of Spivac alone gave me the confidence to place this bet.
If you are slightly hesitant might as well splash both, Gane by KO/TKO and Spivac by submission.
Bet: Serghei Spivac
Ange Loosa (-180) vs. Rhys McKee (+155)
If you recall, in January of 2021, Dana White went on a rampage and cut about 60 fighters. Unfortunately, Rhys McKee suffered due to Dana’s rage. At the time, McKee only had two fights under the promotion in 2020. Those two opponents were, Khamzat Chimaev and Alex Morono.
Since getting released, McKee went back to Cage Warriors. He rallied off a beautiful three-fight win streak all via KO/TKO. Ange Loosa is a tough fighter, but he does not deserve to be a 2-1 favorite.
Loosa holds a professional record of (9-3). He didn’t fight anyone decent until his seventh fight. Whereas McKee has won belts against high-level opponents. This line makes no sense to me. Rhys McKee is the surefire bet here.
Bet: Rhys McKee