Alex Pereira looks to defend the light heavyweight title against Khalil Rountree Jr., and Juliana Pena challenges Raquel Pennington for the bantamweight title at UFC 307 in Salt Lake City, Utah, United States.

After three consecutive knockout wins, Pereira puts his title on the line for a third time in 2024. Pena, looks to reclaim the title from current champion Pennington in her first title defense. Below we will discuss the best bets to place for this UFC pay per view event.

UFC 307: Pereira vs Rountree Betting Strategy

According to the UFC 307 odds, Alex Pereira is a heavy favorite at -500 (bet $500 to win $100). Meanwhile Khalil Rountree Jr. is in the underdog spot at +375 (bet $375to win $110). The implied probability is a 83.33% win likelihood for Pereira.

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Alex Pereira vs Khalil Rountree

Everyone believed Magomed Ankalaev would be the new Light Heavyweight contender. Perhaps unexpectedly, Khalil Rountree is the next man up to challenge Poatan for the belt.

The odds for the UFC 307 main event are ridiculous. In no world are we capable of betting on Alex Pereira’s money line. The only logical option is to bet on Pereira by KO/TKO. Granted that prop bet will be steep too. As a collective society, we should consider rounding up our Pereira earnings and doubling down right here.

Khalil Rountree is a legitimate opponent, with pure knockout potential. However, no alternate timeline consists of Rountree knocking out Pereira. Plus, Rountree is not built mentally for adversity. He is incredibly emotional and could crumble on the walkout.

If you want even more juice, consider betting on Pereira to win in rounds 1 or 2.

Bet: Alex Pereira / Alex Pereira by KO, TKO

Kayla Harrison vs Ketlen Vieira

Kayla Harrison is a monstrous favorite over Ketlen Vieira. You have to bet on Harrison to win inside the distance or pick the method of victory. In no logical way could you play an (-800) money line.

Harrison is simply on this card to steamroll Vieira and call out the winner of Juliana Pena and Raquel Pennington. The UFC is building up a new storyline for one of the greatest women’s Combat Athletes of all time.

Bet: Kayla Harrison

Roman Dolidze vs Kevin Holland

Roman Dolidze is coming back down to middleweight to challenge Kevin Holland. In my opinion, this is a 50/50 fight and should be an even money line. Dolidze and Holland do not have the highest fight IQs. We could see a fun, sloppy fight that doesn’t make much sense.

Dolidze is not a specialist, he’s a tough fighter with solid technique. There isn’t one attribute about his style that shines. Whereas Holland is a brawler, he’s impossible to gameplan for because he does his own thing. Plan and simple, Holland is going to do Holland things to come away with the win.

Plus, when you look at the statistics, Holland throws at a much higher rate. The only category where Dolidze outshines Holland is takedown averages over 15 minutes. You should plan on betting on Holland here. However, it might be too risky to throw him in a parlay.  

Bet: Kevin Holland

How To Watch UFC 307: Pereira vs Rountree

Where to Watch: ESPN+, PPV

Date & Time: October 5th, 6 p.m. EST

Location: Salt Lake City, Utah

Arena: Delta Center