UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall Betting Guide

The Betting Guide for UFC Long Island went 1-1. Thankfully tweeted out Punahele Soriano to win by finish, which helped us get back to plus money. Could have been better but 2-1 is not horrible.

Onto UFC London Blaydes vs Aspinall, I love this card. Already tweeted out a premature 6-legged parlay. Only going to break down my favorite four bets.

If you go back and look, the first UFC London Betting Guide is quite similar. Might as well keep riding with the fighters who won us money before. If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it.

Curtis Blaydes (+110) vs. Tom Aspinall (-130)

Deservingly so, Tom Aspinall gets the UFC London main event spot once again. I’ve advised betting on Tommy Aspinall every single time, don’t plan on stopping now.

Aspinall is special. He’s a one of a kind talent in the heavyweight division. Granted Curtis Blaydes is a very tough match up but it’s a fight he called for. Shows some serious balls from Aspinall. The biggest question around Aspinall is can he keep up his pace in the championship rounds. Part of the reason why the line is as close as it is.

Staying true and betting on Tom Aspinall. In my opinion, he’s the more dangerous fighter who’s capable of finishing in various ways. Only wish I could be in the streets of London singing the Tommy Aspinall chant after he wins.

Bet: Tom Aspinall (-130)

Paul Craig (+140) vs. Volkan Oezdemir (-165)

Paul Craig is on a rampage, 5-0-1 since 2019. Craig has opened as a 2-1 underdog in his last two fights. Not sure how you can continue to fade the Scotsman.

Craig is nerve racking to bet on. He always gets dropped with an overhand, falls right into guard, and submits his opponent with a triangle. Every, single, time. It’s honestly quite remarkable. Fighters know it’s coming too and they still challenge Craig in his guard.

If you agree with me on Paul Craig, there’s no reason why you wouldn’t sprinkle Craig by submission. The value is too good to pass up, shocked the submission odds are up to (+250), that’s highway robbery. Craig is a fine addition to any parlay, give me the Scotsman.

Bets: Paul Craig (+140)

Paul Craig by Submission (+250)

Muhammad Mokaev (-450) vs. Charles Johnson (+360)

Told you UFC London is filled with some familiar faces, and here we are once again. Muhammad Mokaev is back in London against Charles Johnson, who is making his debut. Mokaev is only 21 years old, he purely dominated Cody Durden in his UFC debut by submitting him in under a minute.

On record stating, that I bought into Muhammad Mokaev, I’d like to double down on that statement. Mokaev’s line is steep. If you book offers it, I’d look to take him by finish. Might help the odds a bit.

Bet: Muhammad Mokaev (-450)

Jai Herbert (-275) vs. Kyle Nelson (+230)

Jai Herbert has had a string of bad luck since signing with the UFC in 2020. The last time he fought on UFC London we bet against him, but he looked sharp. Jai Herbert is due for a big win and I feel bad for Kyle Nelson.

Kyle Nelson is 1-3 in the UFC since 2018. His one win is against Polo Reyes who was released from the UFC in 2019. Herbert is an extremely powerful guy, plus he holds a 6-inch reach advantage over Nelson. This is an absolute mismatch fight, feels like Dana is giving Herbert a nice little bounce back.

Jai Herbert by knockout is my favorite bet on UFC London. Watch as Herbert sits back, picks apart Nelson, and puts on a stellar performance. Honestly feel bad for the other guy.

Bets: Jai Herbert (-275)

Jai Herbert by knockout (-110)

Told you there would be a very similar betting lineup. Doesn’t feel right to go and change something that worked so well the first time. I’ll be actively live betting this entire card on Twitter. Might have some huge news coming in the next couple of weeks.

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