The Betting Guide for UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs Gamrot, Live From The UFC APEX In Las Vegas, Nevada On September 23, 2023. Two bets this week, first is a breakdown of the main event, Rafael Fiziev vs Mateusz Gamrot. Followed by Charles Jourdain vs. Ricardo Ramos, which is almost too easy.
Rafael Fiziev (-160) vs. Mateusz Gamrot (+135)
Fiziev vs. Gamrot will be a war, the line should be even. When placing your bet, there is only one factor you need to account for. Fiziev is the better striker, but Gamrot’s grappling will be the biggest story.
If Gamrot consistently wrestles Fiziev to the ground, he’ll win this fight. According to UFC Statistics, Fiziev’s takedown defense stops 90% of takedowns. However, he has not fought any wrestler on Gamrot’s level. Gamrot is a cardio machine that just keeps shooting. He attempted 21 takedowns against Arman Tsarukyan. Granted only 6 were successful, but the threat alone becomes mentally taxing.
Once Gamrot gets Fiziev to the ground, he’ll need to control the position. If Fiziev can get right up each time, the takedowns will become more detrimental to Gamrot. Which, would likely have no impact on the scorecards. But if Gamrot racks up control time in dominant positions, he will win this fight.
Now the choice is yours, will you trust Mateusz Gamrot’s grappling on Saturday?
Bet: Mateusz Gamrot
Charles Jourdain (-150) vs. Ricardo Ramos (-125)
Charles Jourdain should be closer to a 2-1 favorite. The line is only this close because Ricardo Ramos is a better grappler. However, Jourdain’s last camp was solely dedicated to grappling because he was preparing for Kron Gracie.
Jourdain is the better striker by a long shot. Take this line and run to the bank.
Bet: Charles Jourdain