UFC Vegas 101 is the first card of 2025 which takes place on Saturday, January 11 from the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. The main event is a strawweight rematch between Mackenzie Dern and Amanda Ribas. Below you will find the best bets, predictions and the opening betting odds for Dern vs. Ribas 2.
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UFC Vegas 101: Dern vs. Ribas 2 Best Bets & Predictions
The UFC Vegas 101 odds list Amanda Ribas as a favorite at -200 (bet $200 to win $100). Meanwhile, Mackenzie Dern is in the underdog spot at +170 (bet $100 to win $170). The implied probability is a 66.67% win likelihood for the Ribas.
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Mackenzie Dern vs. Amanda Ribas
In the UFC Vegas 101 main event, Amanda Ribas is a favorite at (-200). Whereas, Mackenzie Dern is the (+170) underdog.
In 2019, Amanda Ribas handed Mackenzie Dern the first loss of her professional MMA career. Ribas defeated Dern via unanimous decision. I don’t see the second fight going much different than the first time.
Ribas is a bad stylistic matchup for Dern. Ribas is a much better striker and can hold her own grappling. If Ribas doesn’t make a mistake on the ground, she should be able to dominate Dern again.
In addition, an X factor to consider is Dern’s personal life. It seems like she recently broke up with Antonio Trocoli. Who got submitted by Tresean Gore in less than 90 seconds by standing guillotine. It’s difficult to predict Mackenzie Dern’s mental state.
Bet: Amanda Ribas
Abdul Razak Alhassan vs. César Almeida
César Almeida is currently sitting as a massive (-275) favorite against UFC veteran, Abdul Razak Alhassan, a (+235) underdog.
Almeida is a highly touted kickboxer with a professional record of 47-8. He is currently 2-1 in the UFC with his most recent win a unanimous decision victory over Ihor Potieria. If a striker of his caliber couldn’t finish Potieria, why is he a (-275) favorite?
Abdul Razak Alhassan is a massive step up in competition. Razak Alhassan has fought 12 times in the UFC and has only been knocked out once. He is a true mixed martial artist, who is capable of ending the fight with one strike. Almeida (6-1) is still fairly green in his mixed martial arts career.
The strategy is to bet on Abdul Razak Alhassan straight up. The value is way too good to pass on. However, I wouldn’t be surprised if Razak Alhassan sleeps him in the second or third round.
Bet: Abdul Razak Alhassan
UFC Vegas 101: Dern Vs. Ribas 2 Main Card Opening Betting Odds
Mackenzie Dern (+170) vs. Amanda Ribas (-200)
Santiago Ponzinibbio (-110) vs. Carlston Harris (-110)
Chris Curtis (+210) vs. Roman Kopylov (-245)
César Almeida (-275) vs. Abdul Razak Alhassan (+235)
Christian Rodriguez (+190) vs. Austin Bashi (-225)
Punahele Soriano (+160) vs. Uroš Medić (-185)
Preliminary Card Opening Betting Odds
Marco Tulio (-500) vs. Ihor Potieria (+375)
Thiago Moisés (-190) vs. Trey Ogden (+165)
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov (-205) vs. Bruno Lopes (+175)
Jose Johnson (-180) vs. Felipe Bunes (+155)
Nurullo Aliev (-450) vs. Yanal Ashmouz (+350)
Ernesta Kareckaitė (-270) vs. Nicolle Caliari (-230)
Preston Parsons (+155) vs. Andreas Gustafsson (-180)
Fatima Kline (-1000) vs. Victoria Dudakova (+700)
UFC Fight Night Info
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 takes place at the UFC APEX in Las Vegas on Jan. 11 live on ESPN+
- Date: Saturday, January 11, 2025
- Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas
- Streaming: ESPN+ (English and Spanish)
- Prelims: 4 pm ET / 1 pm PT
- Main Card: 7 pm ET / 4 pm PT
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